Whether you’re a Ukraine supporter or an enemy of the Russian invaders, it’s hard to deny that the Russian government is losing the war in Ukraine. Despite the fact that it hasn’t been able to seize territory as far as it wanted to in the early stages of the war, Russia has failed to maintain the popular will to go on a bloody war. Its military intelligence unit may have lost up to three-quarters of its reconnaissance manpower, and its army of contract soldiers and military hardware was insufficient to take more territory beyond the area it had seized in February and March.
Russia’s capacity for sycophancy is boundless
Despite Russia’s bleak economy, a large portion of the population lives below the poverty line. This is a boon to the regime as it allows them to claim legitimacy without the fear of being held accountable for their misdeeds. The government also has a knack for sycophantically punishing journalists for any little thing they can think of. The recent designation of Proekt as an undesirable organization is the latest flurry of punishment. It’s also worth mentioning that the Proekt news outlet has been exposing the regime’s links to brutal regime-linked mercenaries in Africa.
While the aforementioned news outlet has been in business for a few years now, the Kremlin has been more aggressive in punishing media outlets in recent months. Proekt has been making headlines with its revelations on shady business transactions and the regime’s dismal record on the elusive covid-19. In the last month, individual journalists have also been named as foreign agents.
It’s no surprise then that the government is making it difficult for Russians to keep up with the times. For example, if you’re lucky enough to live in Russia, you’re likely to receive a minimum wage of $108,800 a month. And while it’s great to have a job, that wage doesn’t exactly bode well for the family budget. A recent study by the Federal Security and Anti-Corruption Foundation estimates that 21 million Russians are living below the poverty line, including an estimated 6 million children.
Russia lacks the popular resolve to endure a bloody war
Despite the massive material and human costs, the US-NATO war against Russia is being fought without any discussion of the causes and consequences. It is a continuation of imperialist expansion. The US-NATO war against Russia is a conspiracy against the UK population.
Putin’s policy has been largely unsuccessful in appealing to the mass of workers in Russia. It is also incapable of opposing imperialism. In fact, the war has only reaffirmed the role of the ruling class in Russia.
Putin has also failed to make the most of the situation. He has already lost much of his economy and he lacks the popular resolve to fight a war in Ukraine.
Besides the obvious military cost, the US-NATO war against Russia is also a disaster for the working class. It will be paid for by brutal austerity and attacks on the working class.
A military victory by Russia in Ukraine would be a costly mistake. It would only serve as a prelude to Moscow’s deterioration. It would also be a costly rebuff to Ukraine, which would only intensify the pressure on Ukraine by the Western security architecture.
The war would also cost Russia millions of lives, but it is unlikely that Putin will be able to tell his soldiers the true toll. They may only hear about nuclear threats or about their loved ones lining up at the bank.
Russia’s criminal war is bringing Ukrainians together
Hundreds of dead bodies have been found in the last few months, and investigators are beginning to document the crimes committed by Russian troops. In addition to crimes against humanity, the Russian armed forces have also committed sexual violence, unlawful detention, and shelling of schools.
Russia’s aggression in Ukraine has destroyed homes, infrastructure, and lives. It has also imperiled the world’s economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Russian forces have committed war crimes in Ukraine. In addition to unlawful detention of thousands of Ukrainians, they have shelled hospitals, and they have executed civilians. In late March, Ukrainian authorities discovered that at least 400 civilians had been killed in the town of Bucha.
Ukrainian authorities have filed criminal charges against 10 Russian soldiers. According to prosecutors, the soldiers were part of the 64th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade. Other units were involved in the attack on Bucha, and Ukrainian investigators continue to build cases against them.
Human Rights Watch has received reports of rape and torture in Ukraine by Russian troops. It has interviewed victims and local residents. It has also reviewed photographs of facial injuries. Many Ukrainians have reported that Russian forces took their clothes, food, and gasoline.
The Ukrainian prosecutor general has described Russia’s aggression in Ukraine as genocide. He has called for prosecution of Russian officials in an international tribunal.
Russia’s army of contract soldiers and military hardware were insufficient to expand the area controlled by its troops beyond the area it had seized in February and March
During the conflict in Ukraine, Russia has struggled with the manning and logistics of its armed forces. Russia’s army is made up of conscripts and contract servicemen. These forces have been poorly prepared and have been inadequately trained. They have been unable to meet Russia’s requirements for effectiveness in the field.
The Russian armed forces have struggled in combined arms operations, combat in urban environments, and the holding of terrain. Russia has also had problems with morale and leadership.
One of the main challenges the Russian military has faced during the conflict is the lack of quality replacement personnel. There are several reasons for this. These include the fact that many conscripts are not equipped properly and are poorly trained. This has prevented the Russian military from deploying a large number of conscripts to the front lines of the conflict.
Another issue is the number of Russian military systems that are in need of repair or refurbishment. Many of these systems are old, and are likely to be inferior in terms of combat effectiveness and reliability.
While Russia is not attempting to invade neighboring countries, many of the weapons it is using are Soviet systems, and these systems are easy targets for Ukrainian ground troops. Russian artillery has been damaged and destroyed by Ukrainian defenders.
Russia has been using a partial mobilization force to try to reduce the number of personnel in the field and to reduce the cost of the war. The Russian army has been reduced from over 147,000 to around 142,000. This has been achieved by reducing the number of personnel in each battalion.
Russia’s military intelligence unit may have lost up to three-quarters of its reconnaissance manpower
During the course of the war, Britain’s MI6 or Aspen Security Forum, and its allied services in the US and Netherlands, made important contributions to the Ukrainian military effort. They provided Ukraine with short-range air defence missiles, which helped Kyiv to stymie Russian helicopter-borne assaults into its rear.
However, the most important contribution of the British and US services was in providing accurate intelligence on Russia. This has been one of the most important components of Western support to Ukraine’s war effort. In addition to tracking Russian military movements, the British and US services have helped Ukraine with other intelligence-related tasks, such as capturing rare Russian electronic warfare systems and tracking electronic emissions from Russian aircraft.
The UK and US services also built up a working relationship with Ukraine’s domestic intelligence service, the GUR. They also supplied Ukrainian armed forces with Stinger missiles, which helped them thwart Russian helicopter-borne assaults into their rear.
The UK’s military chief also claimed that he had counted 50,000 Russians killed in Ukraine. That figure, however, was probably conservative. In fact, Moore estimated that about 15,000 Russians died in Ukraine, which is comparable to the amount Russia lost in Afghanistan in the 1980s.
It should be noted that many EU member states do not independently verify US predictions. The prelude to the war revealed many intelligence gaps.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is turbocharging the de-Russification of the country
During the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the de-Russification of Ukraine has accelerated. It’s not a simple task, but it’s necessary if Ukraine is going to survive.
The de-Russification of Ukraine is a complex process, and it doesn’t always go hand in hand with tolerance. In fact, Ukrainian nationalism is already beginning to take on a Russian-hating flavor. As a result, the country is less multi-cultural and multicultural.
The de-Russification of Ukraine started long before the February invasion. In fact, most of the ruling class was replaced with loyalists who have more Russian roots.
The de-Russification of Ukraine is a necessary step towards de-colonisation. It’s also similar to the Korean example of rejecting Japanese after WWII.
Russians have already invaded several towns and cities in Ukraine. The Ukrainian parliament passed a law to ban names of villages, cities and streets that reference the history of the Soviet Union. As a result, many towns and cities in Ukraine have renamed themselves. Some of the names are going to change even further after online voting.
Russians have also targeted civilians in Ukraine, pillaging buildings and homes. They have also tortured non-combatants.
De-Russification in Ukraine has also impacted the country’s entertainment industry. Many concerts of Russian pop stars have been cancelled. In Kyiv, billboards promoting concerts are still there. However, the most important thing is that Ukraine will not be able to enjoy them any longer.