Having stepped away from the presidential race in the last couple of years, Donald Trump is finally getting back into it, but can he win a national election in 2024? While his campaign is a long-awaited move, there are still a number of factors that could make it harder for him to win a national election.
Republican Party needs viable contenders for presidency
Almost two years after the election of Donald Trump, the party faces a decision about whether to stick with the man or move on. He remains popular and holds a strong grip on the GOP. But he is also the subject of controversy and has failed to win some races. Whether or not he will win his second term in office is anyone’s guess. Here are a few candidates to keep an eye on in 2024.
As the party prepares for its next round of presidential politics, some are starting to question whether Trump can really win another four years in the White House. He has lost a few races and has been twice impeached. The former president has also been criticized for his controversial stances on several issues.
Another potential contender is Pete Buttigieg, a former mayor of South Bend, Indiana and secretary of transportation in the Biden administration. He has garnered the attention of political strategists who say he may be the next far right figure. He has endorsed Joe Biden in the primary and is seen as the heir apparent to Biden.
Despite his popularity, there is a strong possibility that the former president will not run for reelection. This will create space for another challenger in the GOP. But it may not be the most obvious candidate.
While the former president is certainly the best-known candidate, there are other potential candidates who may not get as much media attention. One of these may be able to pull off a presidential run, but it’s unclear whether the candidate will get the nomination.
Trump’s announcement on Tuesday of his 2024 presidential campaign provided the party with a daunting choice. The former president’s announcement is likely to serve strategic purposes, but he might not have the best chance at regaining the presidency.
Dems need viable contenders for other high profile offices
Several high profile Democratic contenders are preparing to run in 2020. Some candidates have a history of going viral and others have established media profiles. There is a wide open field. However, not all candidates will make it through the primary debates.
Amy Klobuchar, a senator from Minnesota, is an uninspiring politician. She has been accused of mistreating her staff and hasn’t been a stellar performer in a contested primary. But she could become a viable candidate by way of a process of elimination.
If Joe Biden doesn’t run, the Democratic Party will need to pick a viable contender for other high profile offices. There are a number of possible candidates who could be in the running, including Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, Stacey Abrams, and Kamala Harris.
Elizabeth Warren has been making waves in recent weeks, including a campaign appearance in Wisconsin and endorsements in competitive races in Michigan. She has also been praised by her supporters for her progressive policies. However, her position is too left-wing for many Democrats. She also faces questions about her national electability.
The last Democratic president to fail to win a renomination was Lyndon Johnson. Johnson withdrew from contention in the Vietnam War. But the Democratic Party is undergoing upheaval. The party needs viable contenders for the high-profile offices of governor and senator.
One of the more interesting candidates is Pete Buttigieg, a former small-town mayor of South Bend, Indiana, who has served in the Obama administration. Buttigieg’s experience and appeal would resonate with younger, urban educated voters. However, his vulnerabilities and lack of governing experience could make him susceptible to criticism.
Another potential contender is California governor Gavin Newsom. Newsom cut his teeth in business before he turned to politics. He’s survived a recall election in 2021 and has been active in national politics. He’s also had good success with black voters. However, Newsom has criticized the Democratic Party.
Trump’s fixation on promoting conspiracies about the last presidential election could make it harder for him to win a national election in 2024
Despite a lack of clear evidence, President Trump has spent the last few months advancing a plethora of conspiracy theories about the 2016 election. In the process, he has rebranded himself and reconquered his party. And while he has failed to defeat the Democrat in his current reelection campaign, he has set the groundwork for a possible White House bid in 2024.
As the first American mass political movement in more than a century, the Trump movement has a long list of accomplishments. Trump’s administration helped facilitate the development of vaccines, and his administration has helped facilitate the development of vaccines for a number of diseases.
One of the more far-fetched conspiracy theories that Trump has indulged in has to do with the possibility that he has orchestrated a fraudulent election. His campaign is under Justice Department investigation for allegedly bringing classified materials to his Florida resort, Mar-a-Lago, after leaving office.
Trump aides were giddy over Trump’s rally speeches, which began to focus on immigration and crime. This, they said, gave Trump a competitive edge over his primary opponents.
Trump has also drawn strength from his base. He is also a self-described litigant. He has faced numerous lawsuits. And he has been subpoenaed numerous times for testimony in public hearings.
Some of these allegations relate to the way Trump is attempting to use his position as President to force state legislatures to adopt new voting laws. These laws have been passed in 18 states over the past six months.
In the process, GOP-dominated state boards have gained unprecedented power over election tallies in every jurisdiction. They can suspend county boards and disqualify voters for a variety of reasons. And their handpicked administrator will have the final say on whether ballots are null and void.
Trump’s divisions in the Republican party
During President Donald Trump’s first term, the Republican Party had divisions. Some hoped to get the party back on track, while others wanted to distance themselves from Trump and his populist agenda. In the wake of the midterm elections, Republican leaders found themselves facing a dilemma. They were either going to try and distance themselves from Trump or risk alienating their most loyal supporters. The decision will have a major impact on the party’s future.
The new Republican House will have huge influence on the party’s future direction. However, it will be hard to move the party leftward without alienating Trump’s acolytes.
Trump’s announcement last week of his 2020 presidential bid has created even more pressure on Republican leaders. Several Republican leaders have urged Trump not to run again. Others have said they support Trump. But a recent poll shows that DeSantis, the GOP’s Florida governor, has a better chance of winning the party’s nomination than Trump does.
DeSantis has gained momentum after a landslide reelection in Florida. He has created his own social media platform and has also touted polling results that showed him in front of Trump in key states. He has also been banned from mainstream platforms for spreading misinformation.
DeSantis has the backing of wealthy GOP donors, who are aiming to help him get elected president. They have also been pushing for other Republicans to endorse his 2024 presidential bid.
Other Republicans are positioning themselves for a presidential run in 2024. Robin Vos, who is the powerful Assembly speaker in Wisconsin, says Trump should not be the party’s nominee in 2024. In addition, South Dakota governor Kristi Noem has been positioning herself for a run.
Trump’s long-awaited campaign comes as he tries to reclaim the spotlight
Despite a series of midterm elections losses, Trump’s long-awaited campaign came as he tried to reclaim the spotlight in 2024. Trump’s team has been pondering the timing of the announcement since summer. Trump’s aides are hoping the early-mover advantage will help keep other primary competitors from getting a jump start.
Trump’s team has been sketching out the contours of his campaign, but they also face a litany of criminal investigations. Trump could face charges from multiple investigations, including those looking at his role in the Capitol attack in January of 2021. He is also under scrutiny from the Justice Department for his handling of sensitive government records.
The latest FBI investigation involves hundreds of classified documents that were seized from Trump’s Mar-a-Lago club. The Trump team also faces a criminal investigation in New York State, where Trump’s company finances have been scrutinized. A Fulton County District Attorney has also been looking into the 2020 campaign, but the investigation is still in the early stages.
In addition, Trump faces scrutiny from the Justice Department for his attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 election. A House select committee has held public hearings throughout the summer and subpoenaed Trump’s inner circle for testimony. In October, the committee subpoenaed Trump again.
The Trump team is also concerned about his ability to win a non-consecutive second term. Trump will likely clamp down on immigration and climate action. He also plans to reimpose an executive order he calls “Schedule F”, which would gut the federal government and bring back loyalists who support his MAGA agenda.
Trump’s team is hoping to shift the focus of the campaign to immigration and rising crime. They also hope to create a contrast with his nemesis Joe Biden, whom Trump lost to in the 2020 election.